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The Government updated the COVID risk matrix

9. September 2021 - 0:00

Stenbock House, 9 September 2021 – taking into consideration the increasing number of vaccinated individuals and proceeding from the advice from the Science Council and the Health Board, the Government decided to update the COVID risk matrix indicators. Coronavirus risk levels will continue to be expressed by using four colours, but the indicators determining the risk level of the traffic light colours will be changed.

“The current risk matrix was primarily based on infection indicators. Thanks to vaccination, however, the number of infected individuals no longer shows how many people end up in the hospital,” said Prime Minister Kaja Kallas. “We are mainly aiming to alleviate the load on the hospital network, so the healthcare system could cope. The new matrix is aligned more with the changed circumstances,” Kallas added.

Based on the updated indicators, the risk of the spread of coronavirus in Estonia is currently at the yellow or medium level.

One of the main indicators and additional indicators of the risk matrix will be updated for more accurate estimation of the load on the healthcare system due to COVID. In addition to the average number of infection cases in the past seven days, the average number of those individuals who have been hospitalised with COVID in the past seven days will also be taken into consideration in determining the risk level.

The new additional indicators will include the average number of COVID-19 deaths in the past seven days, the percentage of fully vaccinated adult population, the level of infection cases among the individuals over the age of sixty, and the number of COVID-19 patients who have been place on a ventilator. The thresholds of the risk matrix will also change.


THE UPDATED COVID RISK MATRIX INDICATORS


GREEN


The average number of infection cases in the past seven days is up to 250 and the average number of those individuals who have been hospitalised with COVID in the past seven days is up to ten people per day.

At the green level, the risk of spreading of the infection and an increase in the load on the healthcare system are low and the society can function normally.


YELLOW

The average number of infection cases in the past seven days is 250–600 and the average number of those individuals who have been hospitalised with COVID in the past seven days is ten to thirty people per day. There is a medium risk of spreading of coronavirus.

At the yellow level, the continuity of the healthcare system is not at a critical risk, but further COVID beds must be allocated in hospitals, which extends the queues for scheduled treatment. Some control measures must be implemented in the society to decelerate nationwide spread of the virus. Those measures include using COVID certificates to prevent the risk of infection and mask-wearing in the public premises where COVID certificates are not requested, for example.


ORANGE

The average number of infection cases in the past seven days is 600–1,000 and the average number of those individuals who have been hospitalised in the past seven days is thirty to sixty people per day. There is a high risk of spreading of coronavirus.

If the orange level has been reached, the functioning of the healthcare system is at risk and the queues for ordinary medical services become considerably longer for the people. Strict control measures must be implemented in the society to ensure the availability of medical care and to prevent reaching the red level. This means, for example, increased supervision of the operations of cultural, entertainment, and catering establishments, as well as regional restrictions, if required.


RED

The average number of infection cases in the past seven days exceeds 1,000 and the average number of those individuals who have been hospitalised in the past seven days exceeds sixty people per day. There is a very high risk of spreading of coronavirus.

The red levels means that the strictest control measures must be implemented in the society – closing many institutions, distance learning, and working from home. The continuity of the medical system cannot be ensured.

According to the Health Board, 5,402 coronavirus tests were analysed within the past 24 hours, of which 467 (8.64%) were positive. On average, there have been 359 positive test results per day within the past seven days. As of this morning, 151 people were being treated in hospitals, with thirteen people per day hospitalised, on average, in the past seven days. Two new coronavirus deaths were added within the past 24 hours and twelve patients have been placed on a ventilator. Overall, 58.41% of the entire adult population are fully vaccinated. As of today, 71.5% of all individuals over the age of sixty have received at least one vaccine shot.

The risk levels are provided on the kriis.ee website.